Author: Pam Knox

In the last few weeks NOAA has declared the end of the weak La Niña that has been present in the eastern Pacific Ocean and the return to neutral conditions. I want to take time today to discuss what it means for our summer growing season in the United States. I will also provide some links to guidance for how it might affect conditions in other parts of the world for our non-US readers.

Why do we keep track of La Niña and El Niño?

We have discussed El Niño and La Niña (collectively called El Niño Southern Oscillation or ENSO) many times in this blog. You can read more details here, here and here, for example. Over the past winter, the Eastern Pacific Ocean has been colder than normal; this is considered a La Niña event. We were waiting for it all fall but it was not officially declared until early January, and it was considered a weak event with cold conditions that barely met the criteria to be called a La Niña. A couple of weeks ago NOAA noted that the ocean temperatures no longer met the threshold to be called a La Niña and declared that we are back to neutral conditions with ocean temperatures returning to near-normal conditions. Where it goes from here is still uncertain, but the prediction is that we will be in neutral conditions for most of the summer and perhaps all the way through the rest of 2025.

We track ENSO carefully because it is an internal oscillation of the atmosphere-ocean circulation that has big implications for variations in climate across the globe.  If we know what phase of ENSO we are in, we can make some statistical predictions of what the climate is likely to be at our locations as well as others around the world. This is because the ocean temperature is linked to vertical cloud growth, which can act like a rock in a river, diverting the high-elevation winds north or south. Those winds push around the storms that bring clouds and precipitation to the regions where they are located, so that gives us some knowledge of what weather we might generally expect to experience. Of course, each El Niño and La Niña are different because the atmosphere is constantly adjusting in relation to other factors like droughts and floods, heat spells and cold outbreaks, so every event is unique, but statistically there are known relationships that give us some confidence in how our coming climate for at least the next few months might be.

What do we expect this Northern Hemisphere summer?

The strongest statistical relationships between the ENSO phase and climate conditions occur in the winter months, so the climate pattern this summer will be affected in some ways by the neutral conditions but will be more affected by other factors. The biggest impact will come during the Atlantic tropical season, since neutral years are linked to higher than average numbers of named storms. And sure enough, this year the early seasonal forecasts are for more storms than usual. The number is likely to be a little lower than last year because the Gulf and the Atlantic Ocean are not as warm as they were last year, although they are still warmer than average. Tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific Ocean could be fewer than normal because that is typical in a neutral year, but the water there is pretty warm so that would likely lead to more storms.

NOAA’s seasonal forecasts

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center has issued their 3-month forecasts for the early summer (May-July) and late summer (August-October). The maps are shown below. For the early summer period of May through July, most of the country is likely to be warmer than normal with the exception of the Northern Plains, which has equal chances of above, below, and near normal temperatures. Note that the depth of the color shows how high the probability of that condition is, not how hot it will be. The rainfall this summer is expected to be drier than normal in the western half of the United States except for southern Arizona and New Mexico, which has a chance of experiencing a wetter than normal monsoon. The northern Gulf Coast and the Eastern seaboard is all expected to be wetter than normal, at least in part because some of that rain will be coming from the tropical storms that are expected to occur during the hurricane season from June through November.

For later summer (August through October), all of the country is expected to be warmer than normal, with some areas more likely than others. Rainfall continues to show a wetter pattern than usual in the Southeast and in the monsoon region but is likely to be drier than normal in the northern Plains.

You might ask why the maps show a tendency towards above normal temperatures. That is mainly due to the rising temperatures associated with global warming. As temperatures continue to rise due to the greenhouse gases being emitted into the atmosphere, on the average each year will be a little warmer than the last, although of course there are year to year variations due to ENSO and other variations like ocean temperatures and drought that affect individual years’ statistics. But in the absence of detailed information about the coming year, it is a better bet that we will get a warmer than average year than a colder than average one.

How can gardeners use that information to plan this year’s gardens?

If you are just starting to plan or plant this year’s garden, you can use the information from the CPC to help determine what kinds of flowers and vegetables to put in. If you know that the summer is likely to be warmer than usual, then you can purchase plants that love the summer heat! Be prepared to water them, though, unless you are planting succulents or cacti. This will be especially true if you are also predicted to be drier than normal over the summer, because your gardens are likely to demand a lot of water if there is no rain to quench their thirst. You can help keep moisture in the soil by adding arborist chips as mulch over the surface of the soil to minimize the loss of soil moisture from the root zone.

Since neutral conditions, where neither El Niño nor La Niña are present, are associated with more tropical storm activity in the Atlantic, if you are living in an area that is normally affected by those storms, you should prepare ahead of time by storm-proofing your garden and home and watching the forecasts carefully once we start to get into the active season. It is never too early to prepare!

If you live in another part of the world, there are also climate patterns associated with La Niña and El Niño that you can use to make similar garden plans. You can find them at IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | ENSO Resources and Global impacts of El Niño and La Niña | NOAA Climate.gov.

I hope you have a great growing season and enjoy the fruits and the scents and sights of your garden if you are in the Northern Hemisphere or planning for the next growing season if you are in the Southern Hemisphere far from the equator. We love to see your photos on our Facebook page!

There are many popular songs about fire. Those of you who are fans of Bruce Springsteen will recognize these lyrics from “Dancing in the Dark”. They popped into my head when I was driving home from Asheville NC to Athens GA this past weekend and noticed plumes of wildfires punctuating the air along the highway. That inspired me to write this post on wildfires, which are affecting the Southeast this spring but also affects many areas of the United States and the world too, especially when those areas are in drought. In this post I will discuss how wildfires start, how the local environment may help them spread, and what you can do to protect your properties and gardens from the impacts of wildfires in your communities.

Wildfires versus prescribed burns

Fires in the environment can be caused by natural events like lightning or can be sparked by human sources. Some fires are set on purpose to clear land and reduce fuel loads so wildfires are less likely to occur and some are caused by ignition sources like sparks from dragging chains, a carelessly tossed cigarette butt, or an untended campfire. Some are set deliberately to cause damage and chaos by arsonists or are the result of careless children or adults. According to Earth.org, “40% of wildfires that affect British Columbia in an average year are human-induced. In the US, the amount is more than double, with nearly 85% of the nearly 100,000 wildland fires that affect North America every year caused by human activities, according to data from the National Park Service.”

The fires that are set to reduce fuel loads and remove overgrowth from land are called “prescribed fires” and they are regulated by most states. Farmers sometimes use controlled burns to remove cover crops and prepare for spring planting. Those who want to set a prescribed fire usually have to file a form or follow a procedure to indicate what they are going to burn and when and what the weather was at the time of the burn. They are also expected to file all the necessary permits and notices for smoke and fire hazards. In some states you must be certified to conduct a controlled burn. If the weather is too windy or the humidity too low, they are generally not allowed because the chance of a fire getting out of control is high in those atmospheric conditions. There have been instances of prescribed fires escaping their planned burn areas or causing significant hazards, including a number of deadly multi-car accidents when the aerosols from the fire attracted enough water vapor to form a “superfog” that moved across a busy highway and caused visibility to fall to near-zero feet which blinded drivers speeding down the roads. “Superfog” is especially dangerous if it occurs overnight when the humidity is the highest which causes it to be more dense.

What are the causes of wildfires and how do they spread?

The number one cause of wildfires from natural causes is lightning strikes, especially in areas of drought when the vegetation is very dry and moisture is scarce. Volcanoes can sometimes cause fires by dropping hot embers onto flammable land cover and buildings. Strong winds can quickly spread the fires to new areas downwind and provide a source of oxygen that helps them continue to burn. In areas with a lot of fuel like drought-stricken national forests or open grasslands the fires can rage out of control and cover large areas in short amounts of time.

How to know when you are threatened by wildfire

When conditions are ripe for wildfires, government agencies such as the National Weather Service and state forestry departments will often put out watches and warnings to notify people in areas that are vulnerable to wildfires to be aware of threatening conditions and prepare to evacuate if necessary. If you live in an area that is prone to wildfires, you should make a plan for how to get out quickly and safely and share it with your family and colleagues. If an evacuation order is sent out you should be prepared to move quickly to safety carrying necessary documents, medicines, and valuable property with you in a “go bag” which is assembled ahead of time.

What you can do to your gardens and properties to minimize damage from wildfires

The best way to minimize damage from wildfires is to design your homes with fire-proof or at least fire-resistant materials. In the landscape around your home, plant appropriate plants and keep combustible material at least 30 feet from your home. Create horizontal and vertical breaks in the landscape to slow the spread of flames. Make sure that you have removed low-hanging dead branches and removed any dry shrubs, pine needles, dead grass, and vegetation. You can find additional information on creating fire-safe landscaping here and here. If you live in a fire-prone area you should also be prepared to stay and defend your home if it is too late to evacuate, but this should only be done if you have no other options. If you are able, evacuation is always the best option.

After the fire – other hazards

Hazards caused by fires continue even after the flames are out. Burned-out trees have lower strength and may be prone to dropping limbs or even falling over, creating hazards to anyone or anything beneath them. Ashes may have toxic components that can be carried long distances by the wind or by vehicle tires. In one of my favorite books, The Control of Nature, author John McPhee discusses the debris flows that can occur out west when heavy rain falls on recent fire scars, leading to the destruction of buildings and blockage or destruction of streets and other infrastructure by mud and boulders.

Wildfires are a hazard which can affect any place that has flammable vegetation. Take the time to understand what your risk from wildfire is, plan your landscaping accordingly and you will be better protected from this dangerous natural (and sometimes human-made) disaster!

It’s that time of year again (unless you live in the Southern Hemisphere). Gardeners everywhere north of the tropics are thinking about what to plant and when to plant it. Everyone has their own method for determining when to put seeds in the ground outdoors. Many of them are tied to particular calendar dates or to holidays like Easter or phases of the moon. A few are even tied to sayings handed down from grandparents. Some of these methods have some usefulness because the calendar is tied to the seasonal cycle, and so planting on a particular date may be climatologically linked to the average date of the last freeze in spring in that location. Others, like planting at a time related to Easter, for example, seem less useful because Easter is not on the same date each year and using something that can occur on any date between March 22 and April 25 to determine your planting date seems a lot riskier, especially in years when Easter is early. In this week’s blog we will look at the importance of monitoring your soil for temperature and moisture conditions to ensure that your seeds and young plants have the best chance of survival.

Soil characteristics

Every soil has a set of intrinsic characteristics that describes its texture, its acidity, and its organic and mineral composition. It can be further described by environmental qualities including water and air content that give more information about what is in the soil on a daily basis. All of these are important in determining the success of a plant that is placed into that soil. Two of these characteristics that are very important for good plant establishment are the soil temperature and moisture present in that soil sample. Think of it like the “soil weather”, if you will. Soil temperature and moisture can vary a lot over just a few days if a front comes through and drops rain over your garden. In other periods it may not change much from one day to the next especially when temperatures are cool and the sky is cloudy which minimizes the heating of direct sunlight. Sandy soils tend to dry out much quicker than soil with a lot of clay content. The temperature and moisture content turn out to be very important for germinating many seeds and allowing the new plants to grow strong.

How does temperature affect germination and plant growth?

Most seeds germinate at when the soil temperature reaches an optimum value for that particular seed type. Our own John Porter discussed how to use this property to start seedlings indoors in spring before the outdoor soil reaches the most favorable temperature a few years ago. But many people make the mistake of using air temperature to decide when to plant rather than soil temperature, because when it feels like spring, gardeners’ thought turn to getting seed into the ground as soon as they can. However, soil temperature often lags the air temperature early in the season and that can lead to seeds germinating very slowly or sometimes just rotting away before they can sprout. Often, it just pays to wait until the soil has warmed up to the most suitable temperature for the seeds you are planting to germinate because your seedlings will be more robust and will grow more quickly.

How to obtain the soil temperature

The best way to get a soil temperature measurement is to do it yourself. There are a number of different inexpensive soil thermometers available to measure the temperature in your own garden plot. You might even find that it varies quite a bit around your property depending on the shading and type of soil you have, just like the local microclimate does. But even if you don’t have a suitable thermometer, there are online sources of soil temperature that can give you a general sense of what the soil temperature is in your area. Even if it is not exactly the same as your own back yard, it is probably close enough for you to judge when it is time to plant.

The National Weather Service does not measure soil temperature and moisture at their local airport stations because it is not useful for transportation, but they do provide some soil temperature and moisture information from satellites and other networks’ measurements because it is useful for hydrology, including watching for floods and droughts. Other agencies also collect this type of information. Many states also have statewide mesonets, including the University of Georgia network that I direct, that measure both soil temperature and moisture as well as weather parameters because they are so important for agriculture. Other countries may also measure this information. Keep in mind that the soil temperatures at those individual stations may not reflect exactly what is going on in your backyard because of differences in soil, sunshine, and exposure, but it will give you a general sense of what the pattern of soil temperatures is.

Once you know what the soil temperature is, wait until you know it is going to reach that temperature reliably, not just plant the first day it reaches that temperature. Generally you need about five days of consistent soil temperatures at the target temperature with no forecast for colder weather returning before it is safe to plant. That will help assure you that the seeds are in the best growing environment they can be.

How is soil moisture important?

According to the American Meteorological Society’s Glossary of Meteorology, soil moisture is “the total amount of water, including the water vapor, in an unsaturated soil.” The amount of moisture in the soil is determined by both weather conditions but also the soil type and vegetation in the area. It can be different at the surface than deeper down in the soil where the root zone of the plants is since it takes time for precipitation to percolate down to the areas where the most roots grow.

Like soil temperature, many state mesonets measure soil moisture in some way, although not all states do. The map in the link shows the distribution of soil moisture measurements from direct measurements across the Lower 48 states. There are also a number of satellite-detected soil moisture images available. For most gardeners, a general sense of how wet or dry the soil is can be enough to plant successfully. If the soil is too dry, the seeds may not germinate successfully but just sit in the ground until conditions improve and then sprout if they are still viable and have not been eaten. If the soil is too wet, the oxygen content of the soil will be too low because the soil water has filled all the pores in the soil structure, suffocating the new roots of any seedlings that develop. The sweet spot is somewhere in between, with enough moisture to swell the seed and nurture the new seedling without clogging the soil pores with too much water.

It’s almost time!

Now that you know how to watch for the perfect conditions (or at least close enough!) for your seeds to grow, I hope you will try your hand at doing your own observations of soil temperature and moisture and see what difference it makes in giving your garden the best start. Happy planting!

I’ve been thinking about snow and winter precipitation a lot this week as Georgia digs out from a record snowfall that hit the southern part of the state with amounts of up to 9 inches. This is the second snow event this winter, something that does not happen very often here, although I know it is much more common in many other parts of the country and the world. The heavy snow band stretched all the way from eastern Texas to eastern Virginia up the East Coast, bringing record snow amounts to many areas along the path, including a very heavy snowfall in New Orleans. In the past week I have seen references to snow as “poor man’s fertilizer” and I wondered where that came from and whether there was any truth to it. I discovered that it is a saying that is often used by farmers and even turned up in “Farmer Boy” by Laura Ingalls Wilder. The book tells the story of Laura’s husband, Almanzo, growing up on a farm in upstate New York in 1866. His father told him snow was a good thing and called it “poor man’s fertilizer.” We will explore what that means in this week’s Garden Professors blog.

Why is snow called “poor man’s fertilizer?”

Snow is sometimes called “poor man’s fertilizer” because, like rain, it can add nutrients to the soil when it falls and sinks into the ground. As snowflakes and rain droplets fall through the atmosphere they pick up trace minerals from dust particles and other nutrients like nitrogen compounds that are needed by plants as they grow. Lightning can also fix nitrogen in rain or snow, although the impacts are limited to areas right near the lightning strikes. The nitrogen compounds include nitrate, ammonium, and dissolved organic nitrogen. It is estimated that between 2 to 12 pounds of nitrogen are deposited per acre in the U.S. per year from rain and snow (at best about ½ pound/acre per inch of snow and usually much less than that). The highest amount of nutrients will occur in the first flush of rain or snow, since once they are washed out of the air, it takes a while for them to build back up.

Lightning contributes 5-10% of the nitrous oxide and the remainder comes from human activity such as emission from automobiles and industrial plants. Ammonium can make up 25-75% of the total N in precipitation and comes from soil microbial activity and manure and urea fertilizer outgassing. Since some of the nitrogen comes from human activity, it is probably no surprise that nitrogen levels in rain are higher in the eastern United States than they are out west due to the prevailing west-to-east winds over the continent. One of the results of this is too much nitrogen falling in some locations, enhancing crop yields but harming forests, waterways, and other natural landscapes.

The main benefit of the snowfall is the length of time it takes to melt, since that provides nitrogen to the soil over a longer period and reduces runoff. This is in contrast to rain, which often falls so fast that only a limited amount of the water can percolate into the soil. The rest runs off into streams and lakes resulting in more nitrogen there and less deposited into the ground. And of course snow is free so everyone that it reaches receives benefits at no cost compared to having to purchase and apply commercial fertilizers that add nitrogen to the soil, hence the reference to “poor man”.

What other benefits of snow cover are there?

In addition to providing moisture and nitrogen to the ground, the snow cover can provide other benefits to your gardens. The blanket of snow can provide an insulating layer between the very cold Arctic air that sometimes blows in from the north and the ground where plant roots and dormant plants are waiting out the winter months, as I discussed in November 2024. If the snow is high enough it can also provide some protection for tree trunks from the nibbles of hungry deer and rabbits looking for winter dining as well as protection for small rodents and other critters that are trying to avoid the eyes of hawks, owls, and foxes, who also need to eat.

Snowfall also serves as an important water source for many communities around the world, storing water in the snowpack in winter and slowly releasing it during the summer for use by communities and agricultural producers downstream. This is becoming a problem as more precipitation falls as rain instead of snow as the climate gets warmer because it changes the seasonal availability of the water. Meltwater from snow can also recharge the groundwater that can provide water through wells. The water from snow can also provide water for animals in winter, who may have limited sources of moisture to survive.

What limits are there to fertilization by snow?

Snow does not always provide much benefits to gardeners and farmers. If the ground is already frozen the meltwater may not be able to penetrate the surface and will run off before it can enhance soil nitrogen. If the soil is too permeable, the meltwater may sink down so deep that plants cannot reach the nutrients until later in the season when their roots stretch down to deeper levels, if at all. Even with a consistent snowpack over time, the amount of nitrogen that is able to infiltrate the soil is highly variable.

Enjoying the snow

While snow does provide some fertilizing effect due to the presence of nitrogen in the meltwater, the amount is not large. It’s highly variable due to the amount of dust picked up by the snowflakes as they fall through the atmosphere as well as how much and how fast the snow melts when it hits the ground. If the ground is frozen, very little may make it to the root zone. Testing your garden soil for nitrogen content each spring will allow you to determine how much nitrogen is already there and how much should be added using commercial fertilizers to provide the optimum levels for plant growth. But whether or not snow really is “poor man’s fertilizer”, it provides nourishment for the soul as you see this enjoyable and beautiful contrast to the greenness of your summer garden.

How did your garden grow in 2024? Was it a lush playground full of beautiful flowers and plentiful produce? Or was it a sere landscape of brown, wilted foliage? How your own garden fared in 2024 was certainly dependent on where you live, what you had planted, and how you took care of it, but it was also subject to the variations in weather and climate in your area. This week we will take a look back at the climate conditions in 2024 and look forward to what it might mean for 2025. Now is the time to look at your seed catalogs and dream!

What controlled the climate this year around the world?

With just a few days to go in 2024, it is quite clear that this will be the warmest year we have ever measured since official global records began in 1880. There are three main factors that controlled the climate in 2024, although of course there are also local variations due to smaller-scale weather events. The contributing factors are the warming trend across the world caused by greenhouse warming of the planet, the El Niño that dominated the Eastern Pacific Ocean in the first half of the year, and the unusual warming of the Atlantic Ocean this year which provided fuel for the growth of Atlantic tropical cyclones this year as well as raising the global temperature.

Impacts of the rising temperature trend

Rising temperatures for the world are well-documented by scientists across the globe and are generally linked to increases in the amount of greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide and methane from sources like the burning of fossil fuel. This is not a new concept and can be found in scientific literature going back to at least 1856 when Eunice Foote discovered that carbon dioxide trapped heat in her home laboratory. Many scientists since then have corroborated that effect and others have shown that the primary source of greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide is the burning of fossil fuel, although there are other sources as well.

A timeline of global temperature for January through November (we don’t have the values for December 2024 yet since it is not quite over) shows that this is almost certain to be the warmest year on record so far. But since temperatures are still rising, we can expect to see more record-setting warm years in the future. The rise in global and regional temperature that is occurring now may not be apparent on a day-to-day basis due to short-term variations caused by passing weather systems, but the changes are reflected in increases in normal temperatures when they are updated every ten years. Longer-term changes like the drift in Plant Hardiness Zones also reflect this upward trend. Heat waves across Northern Europe and in South America in 2024 have also been attributed in part to the warming trend. Of course, winter will still occur and we will continue to get cold periods, just fewer of them than in the past.

El Niño to neutral conditions

The second major impact on the climate in 2024 was the lingering El Niño that was occurring as 2024 began and lasted until early June. The warm water in the Eastern Pacific Ocean associated with El Niño helped raise the global temperature during the first half of the year and affected the climate around the world. In North America, an El Niño is associated with warm dry conditions at high latitudes and wet cool conditions in southern latitudes as the jet stream is shifted to the south, bringing storms, clouds, and rain along with it. Once the El Niño ended in June, neutral conditions prevailed until the end of 2024, although the last few months we almost reached the threshold for the opposite phase, La Niña. Climate patterns associated with La Niña were starting to appear late in 2024, leading to dry conditions across southern parts of the United States and wet conditions farther to the north. In fact in the Southeastern US most areas were in drought for a good part of the summer except areas that were hit by tropical cyclones like Beryl, Debby, Francine, Helene, and the remains of Rafael. By the end of 2024, over 87% of the lower 48 states were covered by drought or abnormally dry conditions, a big change from early in the year.

Notable droughts also occurred in Brazil and other parts of South America and in northern Europe. These droughts were also associated with record-setting warm temperatures as high pressure over those areas tamped down any development of rainstorms and caused clear skies which increased temperatures. You can look at maps and timelines of specific areas of the world or country at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/. The map above shows how the drought status in the US changed over the year with some areas getting much wetter and others drying out. Note that areas with tropical storms and atmospheric rivers this year experienced a lot of changes from month to month but it did not affect the total change over the year by much.

Record-setting warm temperatures in the Atlantic

The third impact on this year’s climate was the abnormally warm temperatures in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico. These record-setting temperatures have been linked to decreases in aerosols from burning of fossil fuels by ships crossing the ocean and in more recent literature, to decreases in low clouds over the ocean. Both of these can lead to more sunlight reaching the surface of the ocean and increasing its temperature. Those warm sea surface temperatures led to a larger number of tropical systems than usual in the Atlantic Ocean by providing a source of fuel that helped them develop into full-fledged tropical storms and hurricanes. There were 11 hurricanes and 18 named storms in the Atlantic Basin this year, the 5^th largest number in the satellite era. The number and intensity of tropical cyclones in other parts of the world like the western Pacific are also attributed in part to warmer ocean water. The Philippines experienced five different typhoons in just a few weeks, causing tremendous damage there, and other areas of Southeast Asia also felt the impacts of tropical systems.

What do we expect in 2025?

By January I expect that the La Niña will be officially declared. Whether or not it is, though, we can predict that the early part of the year will show the characteristic pattern of a weak La Niña, including a shift to the north for the jet stream over the United States. That will bring cloudy and colder weather to the northern states and warmer and drier conditions to the southern states since the jet stream is what is pushing our precipitation-producing systems around. These conditions will likely be reflected in the soil moisture present during the spring planting season, so I expect dry conditions in the Southeast that could affect germination of seeds. Wetter conditions in the North should not have this problem but farmers could have trouble getting into the fields to plant if it is really wet and cool, leading to delays in establishing crops. This La Niña is likely to be fairly weak, so it may only last for a few months before we return to neutral conditions. NOAA’s predictions are that the neutral conditions are likely to last for most of the summer. That means we are likely to get another active Atlantic tropical season. The South could be fairly dry except where the tropics bring storms to the area again in 2025. If you are in other countries, you can find more information here or check with your local authorities for how your region usually responds to a La Niña in winter and later in the year.

How did your garden do in 2024? What are you looking forward to in 2025? Let us know in the comments. We are happy to get your questions, too, as we plan for our blog posts in 2025. Many thanks for the comments we have received in this past year and for your support of our blog! We appreciate it!

I am writing this post on Thanksgiving Day, and I can hear football in another part of the house while I sit here with cat in lap. Here in Georgia, we are still officially in the growing season, although that will end in the next few days since a cold front has pushed through today, ushering in much colder conditions that will result in temperatures in the mid-20s next week. It will be a while before we see snow, though, and in fact we only get it every couple of years in Georgia, so we may not get any snow at all this La Nina year, since La Nina winters are usually warmer and drier than usual in the Southeast. Many of my friends from more northern areas have already experienced killing freezes and even snow so today I want to talk about how snow on the ground affects your gardens.

What does the phrase “blanket of snow” mean?

When you hear the term “blanket of snow”, what does it mean to you? To me it means enough snow to completely cover the ground. Quora says it is a metaphor: “Everything is or was covered with snow thick enough to hide the actual objects and their shapes like a blanket would hide the objects it was covering.” Certainly, a thick enough covering of snow will mask the shapes of objects underneath it, just like the blanket on my bed hides the outlines of my legs. But I also think of a blanket as an insulator that keeps heat trapped underneath it and a blanket of snow can also do that for the ground beneath it. Snow also has weight, an early snowfall landing on autumn leaves can quickly strip a tree of its leaf cover if the snow is heavy enough to release the leaves from their branches. Linda has discussed damage to garden trees and shrubs from snow in a previous post.

When does snow form and fall?

Snow can come from several weather sources. In a previous blog post I discussed lake effect snow, and this week is likely to have some very big lake effect snows downwind of the Great Lakes (up to 5 feet!) because of the combination of very cold air with the record-setting high temperatures the Great Lakes are experiencing this year. Snow can also be caused by upward motion of moist air over elevated land, which becomes snow when it rises above the freezing level and drops precipitation on the mountains. For most people, snow comes when a large area of low pressure brings cold air into contact with warmer moist air at the surface. The dense cold air causes the lighter warmer air to rise over it. The air temperature drops as it goes up leading to bands of snow where the cold air and the moisture meet. If the cold air lags behind the surface low pressure, then it is unlikely to cool off the moist air enough to get snow and you may get a cold rain instead. This is the most likely way most of us will get snow if we don’t live near a large lake or mountain range.

How does snow insulate the ground?

Snow insulates the ground from the cold air above the snow by trapping air within the snow cover. This is not unlike how a down comforter works. The snowflakes fall against each other in random orientations that leave a lot of air between the individual flakes. The trapped air serves as a barrier between the really frigid air that is over the surface of the snow and the soil beneath it. In some cases, the snow is so effective at insulating the soil that the soil temperatures can be above freezing while the air above the snow cover is much colder. This is especially true when the skies overhead are clear because the top of the snow radiates thermal energy up to space very effectively when there is no cloud cover. If the soil stays above freezing, then pests and weeds will continue to live in that soil until a longer freezing spell comes along later in the winter when the ground is less protected by the snow. However, the insulation can protect from the desiccating effects of very cold, dry air on the plants that are waiting under the surface for spring temperatures to bring them back to life. A winter drought in the wheat fields of the Great Plains can lead to severe damage to the winter wheat crop since the lack of insulating snow cover leads to soil temperatures too low to sustain the wheat plants into the next growing season.

The amount of insulation snow cover provides depends on the density of the water in the snow cover. You can think of this as the ratio of snow depth to snow water equivalent, the depth of water that the snow would have if you melted it and measured the water volume that was left. Typically, the ratio of snow depth to water equivalent is roughly a 10 to 1 ratio—in other words, 10 inches of snow is equal to 1 inch of liquid water. But that varies widely depending on the temperature and weather conditions at which the snow occurred. A heavy lake effect snow near 32 F can be a ratio more like 6 to 1 while a really cold Arctic or high-altitude snow can be more like 15 or even 30 to one, resulting in a very fluffy snow that is dry and powdery with the snow crystals barely sticking to each other.

Different shapes of snowflakes affect snow cover density

The difference in the ratio of snow depth to water equivalent is due in part to the different shapes that snow crystals form depending on what the temperature and relative humidity are where they are forming in the atmosphere. The snowflakes that grow in the highest humidity levels and form near freezing are called dendrites. These are the typical snowflakes depicted on Christmas cards and in children’s books, with six-armed patterns that can be very ornate and beautiful. The dendrites usually cause the fluffiest snow covers because the edges of the flakes are rough and catch against each other, resulting in a lot of space between the flakes. Other shapes of snowflakes are denser and are also smoother, resulting in a closer packing of snow crystals that lead to a tighter snow cover. The longer the snow cover sits on the ground, the more dense it becomes as the rough edges of the snowflakes melt and smooth out, resulting in a tighter packing of the snow cover that becomes heavier and harder to shovel.

For gardeners, a blanket of snow can be not only a thing of beauty but a way of protecting your garden plants from the most extreme cold air. It can also be a way of providing moisture that will be needed by the growing plants in spring once the next growing season begins. So if you get snow, enjoy it as it covers your winter garden but also walk and drive safely if you have to go out in it. If you live in an area that does not get snow, enjoy the pictures that others post on social media and think about how a blanket of sparkling ice crystals might look in your garden.

Coming up in December: end of year summary

I plan to post a summary of the 2024 season in my December blog post. There is a lot to talk about this year, not just in the Southeast, and I hope to cover a good bit of it in that article. In the meantime, happy Thanksgiving to those of you in the United States and a happy Christmas and holiday season to all who celebrate it.

If you find yourself singing “How Dry I Am” these days, you might be under the influence of a large, stationary area of high atmospheric pressure. This past month, most of the eastern United States has been trapped in this pattern, with warm temperatures, clear skies, and no rain at all for most of the past month. In fact, many cities are on the verge of setting new records for low or no precipitation for the month of October, and some may even break records for the driest month ever. In this post, I will discuss what high pressure is, how it affects precipitation and health, and what impacts these may have on your gardens.

What is atmospheric pressure?

Pressure is a measure of the force of the atmosphere pushing down on the surface of the earth. This is caused by the weight of the air above that surface. As you go up in the atmosphere in an airplane or as you climb a mountain, the amount of air that is above you decreases and the pressure goes down. Pressure also changes horizontally as differences in the temperature around you cause variations in the density of the air, leading to areas of high pressure where the air is more dense and low pressure where it is less dense. Wind is just the movement of air in response to differences in pressure as the atmosphere tries to equalize pressure everywhere horizontally. In the vertical, the pressure gradient pulling air up is balanced by gravity pulling the air down. The wind at the surface is controlled not only by the variations in pressure at the surface but also by friction and the revolution of the earth around its axis, which diverts moving air to the right of the original movement in the Northern Hemisphere and to the left in the Southern Hemisphere (we call that the Coriolis force). Because of the combination of these forces, air tends to spiral into the center of the lowest pressure and spiral out of the center of the highest pressure.

How does atmospheric pressure relate to precipitation?

As the air moves into the center of low pressure, it meets in the middle and rises up, since it cannot go down into the earth. Rising air cools off as the pressure decreases and eventually the water vapor in the air condenses and forms clouds and sometimes precipitation. In the middle of high pressure areas, the air sinks, leading to air that is heating up and evaporating any clouds that might have formed elsewhere. Skies may be bright blue due to the lack of water vapor in the descending air. A complete circulation is formed when air at the surface of the high moves out away from the center towards areas of low pressure, then rises up and spreads out away from the surface low, moving into the top of the high pressure column and sinking towards the surface. You can see this schematically in the diagram below.

When an area of high pressure persists over an area for a long time, the sinking air leads to persistent sunny skies and low humidity, making it very difficult for clouds and rain to form. In summer, these long-lasting high pressure centers can lead to heat domes and oppressive and dangerous conditions such as occurred in the Pacific Northwest a few years ago. In the winter, high pressure is often associated with cold outbreaks of frigid, dry and dense air moving south from the Arctic (in the Northern Hemisphere). Those conditions lead to freezes caused by temperatures that fall to 32 F (0 C) or lower due to low winds and no clouds to trap the heat near the surface.

This fall has been a textbook case of a strong high pressure that has parked over the eastern half of the United States, causing day after day of warm and sunny weather and almost no rain at all. I often think that a drought is just too many days in a row of nice weather (assuming you prefer sunshine, which not everyone does). Fall is the time of year when we tend to have the longest periods of dry weather in the Southeast, but the dry spell does not usually last as long as it has done this year. If you enjoy warm and quiet weather (or sometimes cooler and less humid weather if some dry air has moved in from the north), fall is the time for you to really enjoy your garden before it shuts down for the winter. The dry conditions are good for many farmers too, because the harvest of commodity crops like cotton are easier when the plants dry up. Grape growers also appreciate the dry conditions because it concentrates the sugar in the grapes, leading to more tasty wines. Large-scale areas of high pressure around 30 degrees North and South latitudes are related to the formation of deserts like the Sahara and the Desert Southwest in the United States because the sinking air prevents the occurrence of precipitation, although it can rain there too when the monsoon blows moist air into the region and heat makes it rise to form clouds and rain.

How does high pressure relate to health?

Air pressure variations can lead to health issues in some people. Most people seem to be affected by low pressure, which can cause sinuses and ears to hurt and bother some people’s joints. Changes from high to low pressure associated with the movement of cold fronts also bother many people with arthritis and can cause headaches in some sensitive people. In high pressure areas, most people feel more alive and active. It is hard to know how much of that is due to the pressure and how much is due to the persistent sunshine and lack of rain, though. Interestingly, there is some evidence that more women give birth when the air pressure is low, especially when there is a big change due to an incoming tropical cyclone.

Sinuses, inversions and trapping of aerosols

Air quality also suffers under high pressure because the sinking air traps pollutants near the surface of the earth. This can include soot, smog, and even pollen. The temperature of the air above the surface often rises with height before cooling off as you go higher in the atmosphere. We call this an inversion because we normally expect temperature to decrease as you rise away from the earth, and instead it rises over a layer near the ground before cooling off above that layer. Farmers spraying some herbicides are not allowed to spray when there is an inversion because it can lead to concentration of the chemical near the ground and drift into neighbors’ fields, causing damage to the plants there. This can also happen in home gardens if you have a neighbor that uses a lot of chemical sprays in his or her yard. In the worst cases, a strong and persistent inversion can lead to dangerous levels of pollutants that can cause harm to people with lung conditions like asthma. Smoke from wildfires can also get trapped under the inversion, adding to the pollutant load.

How you can plan for high pressure impacts

If you know that high pressure is forecast for your area, you can use that information to plan for the kind of weather you are likely to experience while it is in place. If it persists over the area, it will be dry and you may have to increase your watering. Plants may get dustier and could be affected by trapped pollution and chemical treatments, leading to spotting or discoloration of the plants and eventually death as the pollutants affect the soil. If you need to work outdoors during persistent high pressure, make sure you monitor the air quality levels so you do not irritate your lungs or dry them out in the low humidity of the sinking air.

Enjoy the days of high pressure as you work in your gardens in the sunny conditions. Low pressure will soon come and bring rain and clouds. We need both to keep our gardens and our gardeners happy!

For those of us in the Southeastern United States, this past week has been a whirlwind of preparation for Hurricane Helene, followed by the terrifying storm itself and now, for some people, months of clean-up and houses, yards, and gardens that may never be the same. My post this week (I did not get to it last week because of the impending storm) will be about how to prepare for an extreme weather event, including where to find accurate and timely information on weather forecasts and how to prepare your house and garden for the extreme weather you may suffer. While we just went through a hurricane, this could apply equally to an ice storm or blizzard, derecho, tornado, or any rapidly occurring weather event. No matter where you live, you will experience extreme weather at some point and need to be ready for it. My post from last month, https://gardenprofessors.com/how-would-your-garden-handle-a-12-inch-rainfall/, was surprisingly prescient, since Helene also brought extreme rainfall to the Southeast, particularly to western North Carolina and Virginia and to the area around Atlanta, GA. Our hearts go out to all of the people affected by Helene and other serious weather disasters.

Preparing your property and garden for damaging wind and rain conditions

The best way to deal with an extreme weather event is to prepare for it well ahead of time. I used to play a game with my son when he was young: “Name all the ways that something could go wrong (in his case, what could make a train or airplane crash).” It is a surprisingly effective way to make you think about possible dangers that might lurk around your home if a severe weather event occurs and what you might have to do to minimize them. If you can identify the risks of an event, then you can address them before the roof starts to blow off and the trees start falling.

The first step is to look around the outside of your house for any potential threats to your property that could become safety issues in strong winds or heavy rains. If you have trees, are they healthy? Are there any low-lying or diseased branches that could come loose in a strong wind and hit your house or car? Could a 50-mph wind from the southwest (or whatever direction your storms usually come from) blow them into your windows or onto your roof? Are there any areas on the outside of your house that are in poor repair and in danger of failing in a storm such as a loose railing or fence? If you like decorative items in your garden like garden gnomes or shiny balls, can you remove them before a storm approaches so that they don’t become wind-borne missiles? You should also consider potential areas where erosion might be enhanced by the ground cover or slope and determine if there are ways to slow the flow of water to preserve your soil and garden design.

Once you identify potential problems in your yard, you can repair them before a storm comes. But you should also make sure that you have adequate insurance coverage and that you document what you have before a storm hits with an inventory or video recording. You might also need special insurance to cover extreme events; I read today that less than 1% of all residents of western North Carolina had flood insurance, even though many of them live in flood-prone areas. Floods are not covered by most homeowners insurance policies. Of course, there could be many reasons for not buying it, including high costs, but if an extreme event occurs, you are going to wish you had it.

Identifying location concerns that could affect your safety

No matter where you live, there are bound to be risks due to the location of your property. If you live on top of a hill, you are prone to experience more lightning and higher winds and potentially more snow since the temperatures at higher elevations are generally lower. If you live in a river valley, your property and gardens would be more vulnerable to floods but also to freezes since cold air drains downslope to low-lying areas. When you decide where to live, consider the land the house and garden are on and also how you get there, whether you have to cross rivers or go through areas that are heavily wooded, which could be a problem in high winds but also potentially in a wildfire. Where you get your water could also be a concern if your well has an electric pump and power is likely to go out.

Get ready to go or stay

Preparing for an extreme event means planning for providing food, shelter, and water for your family and pets if you plan to stay and planning for an evacuation if it is not safe to stay. There is a lot of information out there about this planning process and I am not going to list everything here but you will find some links at the end of this blog that you may find helpful. As I write this almost a week after Helene came through the Southeast, there are many people here whose power is still out and who may not be able to travel because of all the trees and power lines that are down in their neighborhood and who have no access to clean water because the water plants were destroyed or the electric pumps on their wells no longer work. It usually takes about 72 hours for outside help to start getting supplies into affected areas, so you need to plan for several days and perhaps much longer to provide everything you need. Eventually, help will come from a variety of federal, state, and local agencies and non-profits but often the first help comes from a neighbor with a chain saw or extra water. If you evacuate, you will need a plan to get out safely, including more than one possible evacuation route, plenty of gas for your car, copies of important documents, and a place to go, which may include housing for pets or livestock.

Getting the weather information you need to make good decisions

Once you have your plan for severe weather, you need to monitor the situation for potentially threatening situations. A smartphone weather app is an easy way to get your daily weather for regular planning purposes but is not adequate for situations when weather might be changing rapidly since the apps are often updated only once or twice a day. In severe weather, an old forecast is a bad forecast because things may be quickly changing and you need the latest information.

There are a number of apps and websites that you can use to monitor extreme weather events, including the National Weather Service local forecasts for frequently updated information, watches for potential severe weather, and warnings for when it is spotted. The National Hurricane Center is the official source of hurricane and tropical storm warnings and their maps are updated every three hours when a storm is present. Beware apocalyptic posts on social media that often show a single worst-case model run that has practically no chance of occurrence just to gain attention and clicks. Stick to expert guidance from trusted sources. You can also get information on what local conditions you might experience and the timing of wind and rain using the hourly weather forecast from the National Weather Service, although in a rapidly changing extreme weather event even these may not change quick enough to capture the evolution of the storm. Weather radios and some smartphone apps that are designed can provide information about watches and warnings based on your location. If you live in an area that is prone to flooding or severe weather or is in a floodplain or near the coast of the ocean, then you should pay careful attention to rain in the area upstream of you are or the likely storm surge from a tropical cyclone. Be prepared to evacuate if emergency managers ask you to.

Planning ahead can save lives

Extreme weather is something that we all need to plan for but that planning often falls by the wayside because of other pressing tasks. But if you can take the time to do some simple advance planning and be prepared to act when the event starts, you can save yourself a lot of work later on when the clean-up begins and may save your houses and gardens. You may even save your family from serious consequences! I hope that it never becomes an issue for you, but I also know that many communities, businesses, farms, and families are dealing with the consequences of extreme weather now. Thanks to help from many people, they are starting to rebuild their lives, but it will be a long time before things get back to normal and for some, it may never be the same.

Some useful links:

Georgia Department of Public Health: Severe Weather Preparedness

Resident’s Handbook to Prepare for Natural Hazards in Georgia (good for other locations too)

Bankrate: How to Create a Home Inventory

FEMA: Hurricane Preparedness and Evacuation Planning

Early in August, Hurricane Debby made landfall in the Big Bend of Florida’s Gulf Coast, crossed into Georgia east of Valdosta, and moved leisurely northeast. The remains of Debby crossed the coast, briefly moved over the Atlantic Ocean before turning northwest and making another landfall northeast of Charleston then headed north into New England. While the winds decreased quickly once Debby made landfall, it dropped huge amounts of rain along its path. The highest official rainfall amounts topped 12 inches, but I heard of some unofficial measurements of 20 inches in a few isolated locations. Pictures of erosion in peanut fields and standing water in cotton stands filled my inbox, and it made me wonder how a garden would cope with so much precipitation in such a short period of time. I want to take a few minutes today to discuss it.

What happens as the rain is falling?

Tropical rainfall (or rain from any heavy thunderstorm) contains a large volume of water in droplets falling from a height of several miles. Generally, the raindrops are large and fall in a shape that looks more like a hamburger than the typical teardrop we often see in pictures. As the drop falls, the bottom flattens out under the influence of the air that it is falling through and surface tension holds the drop in a rounded shape. Raindrops fall at different speeds depending on how big they are. Large raindrops associated with warm weather and strong updrafts like the ones we see in thunderstorms and hurricanes can have a falling speed of up to 20 miles per hour, while smaller raindrops fall at lower speeds of 2 miles per hour and drizzle at much slower speeds of a few feet per second. The speed at which the drop falls is known as its terminal velocity and is reached when the force of gravity pulling the drop downward matches the friction of air slowing the drop down as it falls.

What damage does the rain do when it hits the ground?

When the falling raindrops hit leaves, they can cause damage to the plants. The biggest raindrops are heavy and falling fast so they can break off or damage the foliage, although not as much as hail does. We see this especially in fall when the leaves are loosely attached to the branches after they start to change color and die. A heavy rain (or snow if you live in a colder area) can remove a lot of leaves in a short time, making the fall colors muted or non-existent as the leaves are washed to the ground.

When the rain hits bare ground it can cause soil particles and microbes to splash upward. Farmers know that rainy weather can lead to more diseases because of the enhanced transmission of fungal spores and other pathogens up onto the crops. Of course, the wet soils can also provide a lot of moisture in the air around the plants that can fuel the development of fungal diseases like powdery mildew, especially when plants are close together with little ventilation by the wind. Mulch may be able to help reduce the transmission of spores but creates a moist environment around the roots of the plants that can cause problems if it keeps too much water in the ground. One advantage of arborist wood chips is that the wood absorbs moisture and releases it later and the pores between wood chips are large and can store a lot of water before it runs off. It can also preserve soil moisture between rain events and it can reduce the impact of raindrops on the soil surface, limiting nutrient loss and splashing.

Where does the rain go when it hits the ground?

Once rain hits the ground, some of it sinks into the ground (infiltration) while the rest might either run off if there is a slope or stand in a puddle if there is a low-lying or flat area. The rate at which water can enter the soil depends on the characteristics of the soil. If it is gravel or coarse sand, it can take in as much as 0.8 inches of water per hour. Sandy loams can take in 0.4 to 0.8 inches per hour, loams 0.2 to 0.4 inches per hour, and clay soils less than 0.2 inches per hour. The rain can also compact the soil, making the movement of oxygen around the roots more restricted. The water that does not sink into the soils will either sit at the place the rain has fallen or will move downhill under the force of gravity. Flowing water will often carry a lot of soil and debris with it, so the movement of topsoil and nutrients like nitrogen from field to stream can cause problems for both environments. Silt from the floodwaters can cause loss of oxygen in streams and murky conditions affecting the stream health or the silt can be deposited in low-lying areas. In the biggest floods, large deposits of sand can ruin fertile bottomlands by covering healthy soil with thick deposits of unproductive silt and sand. The erosion can also dig deep trenches through gardens and farm fields, leading to loss of plants and making the movement of farm equipment across that rutted land difficult especially since it can also get bogged down in the mud.

If the water pools in a low-lying area the soil can become saturated for a long time. This causes damage to the plants standing in the water because without oxygen, the roots die. In the short term the loss of oxygen can cause the plants to wilt. If it lasts for a long time it is likely to lead to the death of the plants in low-lying areas. In Hurricane Debby, some farmers are starting to see flooded cotton plants become reddish and stop growing, reducing the eventual yield of the crop. The dying roots can also give off ethylene gas, hastening the ripening of crops like tobacco and shortening the time that farmers have to harvest it before it rots. Farmers are often told to harvest crops that grew in flooded areas separately from upland crops because the negative impacts of oxygen deprivation can stunt plants, ruining their yields and increasing the likelihood of aflatoxin in peanuts or other toxins which can decimate the value of the crop.

What can gardeners do to prepare their gardens for heavy rains?

In the future, the frequency of heavy rains is expected to increase in the United States as well as other parts of the world because of more water vapor in the atmosphere as the planet warms. What can gardeners do to make sure their gardens can withstand heavy rain events? The first thing to do is to understand what type of soil you have and how much water it can absorb. If you have sandy soil, heavy rain will have less of an effect than clay soil but it might mean you have to water a lot more often. In Debby, some areas that received 12 inches of rainfall needed irrigation less than a week after the storm moved through because the sandy soil of the coastal plain just does not hold much water. The next thing you should consider is the local topography of your garden. Are there areas that are natural channels for water? Make sure those areas are lined with material and plants that can withstand water and reduce erosion. If you have low-lying areas, use those to plant rain gardens with plants that are more adapted to wet conditions.

Rain is a necessary part of gardening unless you live in a desert and provide your own water to your gardens, but it can cause a lot of damage if the water is not managed carefully. Take the time to study your garden and understand where the water will flow and your garden will be much more likely to take a 12-inch rainfall in stride with minimal damage. It might even thrive!

In my blog post last month, I mentioned the likelihood of having a very active Atlantic tropical season, especially because the ocean surface temperatures are so warm. But despite an early start to the season with the first three named storms (including Beryl, the earliest ever category 5 storm in the Atlantic Ocean), it’s been quiet for the last few weeks. The ocean temperatures continue to be very warm. What is preventing the development of tropical storms in such a warm environment? One of the main culprits now is Saharan dust that blows west off the African continent and affects the vertical structure of the atmosphere. This keeps tropical waves from developing the necessary circulation to strengthen into a powerful storm. In this post, we will discuss the impacts of the Saharan dust and how it is both good and bad for the environment.

What is Saharan dust and where does it go?

The Sahara Desert covers most of the northern portion of the African continent. It’s the world’s largest source of wind-blown dust supplied to the ocean and adjacent land. It is one of the driest places on earth and is covered with sand and rocks but very little plant materials. This means the dust from the Sahara is mineral dust with low organic content. Seven elements (Ca, Mg, Al, Ti, Fe, K, and Na) account for 98% of the total analyzed inorganic burden. The dust particles are often very fine, so they can travel a long distance from their source region on the continent.

Winds in that part of the world blow from east to west near the surface. You might know of them as the “trade winds”, which are often described in elementary geography classes as the winds that helped European ships travel west to North America. The trade winds form a band of westward-blowing winds from about 30 degrees south to 30 degrees north latitude around the globe. The strength of the trade winds changes over time, but when they are strong and a lot of dust is available over the Sahara, the particles can blow all the way across the Atlantic, covering large parts of the Atlantic and bringing low air quality and beautiful sunrises and sunsets to people in its path. This month has been particularly dusty, with satellite records showing this is the 2^nd dustiest July since continuous records began in 2002. Generally the dust plumes occur at a height of 5,000 to 20,000 feet where the trade winds are the strongest.

How does Saharan dust affect tropical storm development?

The air that carries the Saharan dust is usually very dry, which disrupts the usual moist conditions above the ocean surface and keeps thunderstorms from growing vertically. The vertical air movement would normally help initiate the decrease in surface pressure that helps storms grow. The dust particles also serve as nuclei to absorb even more moisture from the air, keeping the layer dry. The dust is opaque (which makes it visible from satellites) and shades the surface of the ocean, cooling it off and reducing its ability to energize storms.

The Saharan dust layer is most likely to occur in the period between mid-June and mid-August, but there are variations over time and location because of the strength and direction of the wind. Sometimes the winds even blow from south to north, bringing dust to Europe, although this is less frequent. Tropical storms can sometimes form in pockets of relatively dust-free air, as Hurricane Beryl did this year, but the thickest layers are very effective at shutting down storm growth.

How does the dust affect air quality and human health?

Saharan dust incursions into the Southeastern United States can often been seen in air quality measurements taken in cities around the region. Like any other dust particles or other aerosols like smoke from forest fires, the particles can trigger asthma, burning eyes, and other symptoms associated with bad air quality. The dust can be seen in lower visibility around the cities, deposits on horizontal surfaces like cars and plants either directly from the dust or from “dirty rain” which contains the dust and brings it down to the ground. It can also result in spectacular sunrises and sunsets due to the scattering of the sun’s rays by the particles (similar to those from volcanic eruptions). If you are sensitive to poor air quality and plan to work outside in your garden, you will want to monitor air quality carefully and avoid the times when the pollution is worst.

How does the dust affect plants?

Saharan dust has important positive impacts on both phytoplankton in the ocean and on the Amazon rainforest. Those areas are often missing nutrients that would allow plant growth and so additions of iron and phosphorus into those areas can improve soil or water fertility and plant growth. Unfortunately the dust can also contain bacteria or other organic material that can lead to undesirable growth of algae in the ocean. The dust is not acidic, so acid rain is not something we worry about with rain containing the Saharan dust, unlike rain from volcanoes or from coal-burning power plants. The dust can also reduce absorption of sunlight by plants if there is a large amount.

How can gardeners prepare for episodes of Saharan dust?

First, we need to recognize that while we have not studied Saharan dust impacts for long, it has been around for many years and is a natural part of the earth-atmosphere system. It has beneficial impacts on soil nutrients in tropical rainforests and gardens in the affected areas and helps reduce activity in the tropics early in the season. But with dust events decreasing in the next few weeks, we can expect the Atlantic tropics to start heating up again as the most active part of the season gets underway. Gardeners should monitor their plants for dusty conditions and should also keep track of air quality impacts if they have asthma or other breathing disorders that could be affected by the dusty conditions. Gardeners in other parts of the world should also be aware of sources of dust and other pollutants that could affect their gardens and their own health. The Garden Professors blog has discussed the impacts of dust on gardens in several of our previous posts so please search for them if you want more information.